Addendum: Yet another take on Mr. K. Well worth reading IMHO.
Thursday, November 30, 2023
Wednesday, November 29, 2023
The era of financialization, globalization and digitization is giving way to an era in which materials will dominate the global economic, social and political orders. Life will revolve around obtaining the basics of life rather than around marketing to consumers with discretionary income/credit to spend.The material world is ruled by physics, chemistry and cost, not finance or politics. Humanity has already consumed / depleted the cheap, easy-to-get resources, from coal and oil to topsoil, wild fisheries and fresh water aquifers. The net result is that all resources will cost more to extract, process and transport, and these systemically higher costs manifest as inflation / loss of purchasing power: it will take more units of labor / money to buy the essentials of life, leaving fewer units of money for discretionary spending in the consumer economy and fewer units available to support additional debt.
Monday, November 27, 2023
Tuesday, November 21, 2023
Hamlet. Do you see yonder cloud that’s almost in shape of a camel?
Polonius. By th’ mass, and ‘tis like a camel indeed.
Hamlet. Methinks it is like a weasel.
Polonius. It is back’d like a weasel.
Hamlet. Or like a whale.
Polonius. Very like a whale.
Seems Shakespeare was indirectly channeling AI, news and social media where people talk to their choir, believing almost anything as long as it aligns with one’s world view ... which brings up the notion of Deepfakes as they’re Everywhere. Just go to almost any site and see nonsense, usually in full color, residing on the right hand side or on the bottom of the web page, saying something patently ridiculous regarding a celebrity, news event or “scientific” fact, accompanied with a clickable AI graphic showing said tidbit to be “true”. One of the usuals is a huge beast found on a beach near you.
The Idea Dynamo
A 1923 cartoon by H.T. Webster captioned
"In the year 2023 when all our work is done by electricity.”
machine learning, and linguistics expertise
Instead of building the next GPT or image maker DALL-E, Sutskever tells me his new priority is to figure out how to stop an artificial superintelligence (a hypothetical future technology he sees coming with the foresight of a true believer) from going rogue.
60 Minutes | Geoffrey Hinton/Godfather of AI & former Google Fellow
Monday, November 20, 2023
Tuesday, November 14, 2023
First it was college essays, then law, now it's the weatherman thanks to DeepMind's GraphCast
and it's connect to all things related to weather.
Finally, a robot to tell you which jacket you should wear to the function. Google DeepMind, the search giant’s AI-centric brain trust, just announced a new weather forecasting model that beats traditional systems more than 90% of the time. Named GraphCast, the machine learning model promises 10-day predictions that are better, faster, and more energy-efficient than the tools that run your weather app today.
GraphCast starts with the current state of Earth’s weather, and data about the weather six hours ago. Then, it makes a prediction about what the weather will look like six hours from now. GraphCast then feeds those predictions back into the model, performs the same calculation, and spits out longer-term forecasts.
The Google team compared GraphCasts results to the current model that’s used for medium-range weather prediction, called HRES. According to the study, GraphCast “significantly” outperformed HRES on 90% of the targets used in the test.
Like the Terminator, it learns ...
Channeling Einstein, researchers leverage gravitational lensing by using sophisticated software to find hidden black holes in ways not thought possible until now.
What's large and blue and can wrap itself around an entire galaxy? A gravitational lens mirage. Pictured above, the gravity of a luminous red galaxy (LRG) has gravitationally distorted the light from a much more distant blue galaxy. More typically, such light bending results in two discernible images of the distant galaxy, but here the lens alignment is so precise that the background galaxy is distorted into a horseshoe -- a nearly complete ring. Since such a lensing effect was generally predicted in some detail by Albert Einstein over 70 years ago, rings like this are now known as Einstein Rings. Although LRG 3-757 was discovered in 2007 in data from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS), the image shown above is a follow-up observation taken with the Hubble Space Telescope's Wide Field Camera 3. Strong gravitational lenses like LRG 3-757 are more than oddities -- their multiple properties allow astronomers to determine the mass and dark matter content of the foreground galaxy lenses. (citation from APOD
Using a phenomenon called gravitational lensing and supercomputer simulations, a team of astronomers led by Durham University, UK- has discovered one of the biggest black holes ever found. This ultramassive black hole has over 30 billion times the mass of our sun.
The team has discovered this first black hole in a foreground galaxy, using a method that replicates light traveling across the universe countless times. The mass of the black hole in each simulation varies, altering the light path toward Earth. The team made the simulations on the DiRAC HPC facility. This allows them to determine how light bends by a black hole inside a galaxy hundreds of millions of light-years from Earth.
The path that the light from the distant galaxy took to reach Earth when the researchers incorporated an ultramassive black hole in one of their simulations matched the path shown in actual images collected by the Hubble Space Telescope.
Lead author Dr. James Nightingale, Department of Physics, Durham University, said, “This particular black hole, which is roughly 30 billion times the mass of our sun, is one of the biggest ever detected and on the upper limit of how large we believe black holes can theoretically become, so it is a fascinating discovery.”
Sherlock would be proud.
Saturday, November 11, 2023
The worst presidential race in my lifetime looms between Agent Orange and Sleepy Joe, two vastly despised candidates espousing views not attractive in ways boggling the mind. One bent on being Mussolini lite, the other, being Israel's lap dog. Oh dear god, deliver us from these two, please but, as Talking Heads so eloquently expressed in Once in a Life Time, it's Same as it ever was, in the year of our lord 2023.
Yes, both men are unpopular, remarkably so. Only a third of Americans view President Biden favorably, and two-thirds of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters want to nominate someone else for the presidency (no one in particular, just someone else, please). Trump is the overwhelming favorite to become the Republican nominee for the third consecutive time, but his overall approval rating is lower than Biden’s. And while 60 percent of voters don’t want to put Trump back in the White House, 65 percent don’t want to hand Biden a second term, either. The one thing on which Americans seem to agree is that we find a Biden-Trump 2024 rematch entirely disagreeable.
Like so many others, I also wish we could avoid that choice or at least defer it. As the journalist Amy Walter has put it, “Swing voters would rather eat a bowl of glass than have to choose between Trump and Biden again.” Well, it may be time to grab a spoon and unroll the gauze. When half the country believes democracy isn’t working well, when calls for political violence have become commonplace, when the speaker of the House is an election denier, it is time to face what we risk becoming and to accept or reject it. We have no choice but to choose.
Where's he going? In a hurry I see. The absolute harbinger of fall without question.
Awesome to the max. :)
Canadian and U.S. folklore holds that the relative amounts of brown and black hair on a larva indicate the severity of the coming winter. It is believed that if a Pyrrharctia isabella's brown band is wide, winter weather will be mild, and if the brown band is narrow, the winter will be severe. In a variation of this story, the color of stripes predicts the winter weather, with darker stripes indicating a harsher winter. In reality, hatchlings from the same clutch of eggs can display considerable variation in their color banding, and a larva's brown band tends to widen with age as it molts.
Another version of this belief is that the direction in which a Pyrrharctia isabella crawls indicates the winter weather, with the caterpillar crawling south to escape colder weather. There is no scientific evidence for winter weather prediction by Pyrrharctia isabella.
The little guy above was heading South big time. :)