Saturday, August 22, 2026

An agree upon lie ...



When reading the amazing NYTimes opinion piece titled an amargi, one readily sees there's a practical solution to the world's debt problem just as there's a practical solution to keep a car engine working if one understands what the system needs in order to survive. 
  • The engine must have oil to enable the pistons to move up and down in their cylinders because without lubrication, the engine will seize. 
  • The same requirement applies to water as it enables the engine's cylinder assembly to run at proper temperature, thus avoiding an engine meltdown while driving. 

This also applies to money.

When analyzing the August 2026 economic reality,  a $40 trillion U.S. debt and a $350 trillion global debt, the core structural flaw of modern finance is ... Money is an agreed-upon lie.

It's not a law of physics. It's an artificial ledger. And like all ledgers, if you do not account for the friction of the system, the debt load, the engine will eventually melt down.

Money is the ultimate illusion. It was invented to handle the give and take of business transactions
with as little friction as possible.

The ancient Mesopotamians invented money but today's bean counters believe that money is reality.
They treat the $350 trillion debt as an unbreakable physical law, completely forgetting that money's just a construct designed to grease the wheels of the business transaction.

It matters not what form money takes. Sea shells, gold, paper, copper. Nada.
It's the worth ascribed to such entity that counts. 

Compound Interest (The wealth engine of the creditors)

In a perfectly frictionless reality, debts could compound forever but in reality, the world's engine will seize.

Every transaction generates heat. Compound interest equates to running the engine at redline without an exhaust pipe. The debt snowballs, the debtor defaults and the structural integrity of the society begins to break, something that's beginning to happen as we speak.

an amargi ...



When you think about money, one realizes it's an agreed upon lie of what something is worth and is an entity transactional by nature. It's an artificial construct enabling the world to conduct business.







It's the economy stupid. :)

Stowaways ...



Nice to know, Aspergillus niger, a familiar fungus growing in wet places like the bathrooms on the USS Lincoln, can become stowaways from hell when astronauts visit the moon, something rather disquieting to say the least. 



There are others potential stowaways as one can well imagine as nature finds a way, always.

Friday, August 14, 2026

Moral courage not spoken here ...



Read the piece. This tells you everything about Trump.



If Patton was around, the shit would hit the fan in a nanosecond and heads would roll, fast. 


“Moral courage is the most valuable and usually the most absent characteristic in men”
― George S. Patton Jr.

Thursday, August 13, 2026

Houston, we have a problem.


Harbor tug boats guide Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln at the Naval Base in Guam on December 11, 2025. Valerie Lynn Maigue/US Navy/File

As a former officer in the Army who was respected by his people, anger comes to mind in terms of just how bad the living conditions became during the months at sea the Lincoln was deployed without the respite of a port call and resupply of essential goods and services, a FUBAR for the ages based on a CF of an illegal Israeli/US sponsored war with no end in sight. 








Houston, we have a problem. 

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Wag the Dog/Rev 2

 


When Trump became president in 2024 and pardoned the January 6th rioters, yours truly said Brown Shirts.
I warned he would move toward implementing National Emergency Powers as needs warrant, particularly if his poll numbers tanked. People laughed. They aren't laughing now.

With Trump's and Bibi's war with Iran acting as catastrophic loss leader and gas and food prices spiraling ever upward, the orange menace is now talking seriously about declaring a national emergency in order to short-circuit the projected bloodbath the GOP might finally face in the midterms.







If that doesn't work, the Wag the Dog gambit might.


Shield Font

 

Image - ShieldFont

The predator/prey arms race applies as Shield Font is building fonts able to shield content from AI's 24/7 never ending heist in order to feed its LLM, something most interesting to this old designer because selecting appropriate fonts for any given project was an essential part of the creative process. :)

A new “AI-proof” font was designed to be hard for AI agents to scrape, but you can’t tell by just looking at it. Unlike other anti-AI fonts that use letters that are difficult for bots to read, ShieldFont swaps out words behind the scenes to poison the data that automated scrapers take without permission.

ShieldFont was designed as part of a project created by a group of professionals including the Brazilian creative studio Seneda & Abrucio and the Danish type foundry PlayType. It shields text from large language models (LLMs) by garbling sentences in the HTML source code, leaving automated scrapers to sift through sentences filled with decoy words that make a sentence incoherent. Thanks to a custom font on a backend, though, the real text is displayed for a human reader to see.

How it works

ShieldFont works using ligatures, the technical term in typography when two letters next to each other in a word are combined into a single glyph. Ligatures are designed for aesthetics, so letter combinations like fi in “fish” or fl in “flow” look naturally spaced instead of visually cluttered. When a program sees these specific letters next to each other, it swaps two characters for one that combines the letters into a single glyph. ShieldFont works in a similar way, except instead of letters, it swaps out whole words.



Amazing site, amazing tech. :)

8.3 ...


8.3 Trillion Reasons the Trump Bull Market Is Running on Borrowed Time

Although the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI), S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) typically rise under most presidents, their annualized returns with President Donald Trump in the White House have been well above average. The rise of artificial intelligence (AI), coupled with Trump's favorable corporate income tax policies, has fueled growth on Wall Street.

But the Trump bull market appears to be running on borrowed time. While a laundry list of headwinds exists on Wall Street, including historically pricey valuations and record margin debt, it's a quarterly reported economic data point that strongly suggests a course correction is coming.

However, the latest money market fund data follows a worrisome trend.

During the first quarter of 2026, total financial assets held in money market funds ballooned to an all-time high of $8.29 trillion. Even though we'd have expected capital to flow out of money market funds when the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) began cutting interest rates in September 2024, inflows never slowed. Despite yields on fixed-income assets declining, investors have continued to pile in -- and that's a big-time worry.

History offers investors little reassurance about the evolution of AI. While empowering software and systems with the tools to make autonomous, split-second decisions is a multitrillion-dollar opportunity, history shows that every game-changing technology has taken several years to mature. This lengthy pace of optimization, which investors always seem to overshoot, leads to the bursting of bubbles with next-big-thing technologies.

Historical precedent points to valuations also being unsustainable. The S&P 500's Shiller Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio, also known as the Cyclically Adjusted P/E Ratio (CAPE Ratio), nearly tipped the scales at 43 in early June. It's the second-priciest valuation multiple since January 1871

Pucker time/rev II


The Stock Market Is Doing Something Observed Only 6 Times Since 1871 --
and the Previous 5 Occurrences Ended in Disaster for Wall Street

History can be a powerful teaching tool, with past events on Wall Street having the uncanny ability of foreshadowing the future.

Most investors rely on the time-tested price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio when valuing public companies or the broader market. Although the P/E ratio works great for quickly evaluating mature businesses, it's easily tripped up by recessions, which can turn earnings per share (EPS) negative.

The valuation tool that's demonstrated it can provide apples-to-apples valuation comparisons spanning more than a century, and isn't disrupted by recessions since it takes trailing 10-year EPS into account, is the S&P 500's Shiller P/E Ratio. You'll also see the Shiller P/E referred to as the Cyclically Adjusted P/E Ratio, or CAPE Ratio.

Despite being introduced by economists less than 40 years ago, the Shiller P/E Ratio has been backtested to January 1871. Over this 155-year and nearly seven-month period, it's averaged a multiple of 17.4. But as of the closing bell on July 27, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E Ratio was nearly 40.5.

8.3 applies.

Night of the living dead ...

 


Night of the Living Dead applies. Bone Spurs, holding up an executive order potentially
killing children by limiting their access to vaccines.

RFK Jr, looking like Gollum's father, makes the orange menace actually look good by comparison. 

When seeing this pix, one sees just how far down this once great nation has gone
in the year of our lord 2026.




Sunday, August 09, 2026

Burning Down the House ...


“Watch out, you might get what you're after...
I'm an ordinary guy, burning down the house.”
— Talking Heads

The 1984 Jonathan Demme masterpiece Stop Making Sense of Talking Heads performing Burning Down the House live is better but I digress.

The real issue is the fact Google's burning down it's house in order to feed it's LLM and stiff creators and people needing information unfiltered and not processed into AI slop.

To whit.

The boffins in Silicon Valley finally got exactly what they wanted: total control of the data. And in the process, they are currently burning their own house to the ground.

For twenty years, the internet operated on a basic exchange. Human creators (publishers, writers, artists) provided (the content). Google provided (the traffic). It was a symbiotic relationship because if vendors made money from people doing the search, Google would get a cut of the sale. Vendors were happy because there was no friction. 

I'm looking for a hat. A Derby or Bowler. I type in the prompt. Where can I find a Derby or Bowler hat? The response, XYZ companies showing product, pricing and availability. I select the company and buy the hat. Google gets a cut and the company in question is happy as Google's cut is akin to CC companies getting a cut.

You can still do this but it's getting harder as Googles push to feed its LLM and not us shows, in realtime, that the system's beginning to break down. 

Now the AI Overviews and the LLMs take presidence. Google's gotten greedy. They decided they didn't want to route traffic anymore; they just wanted to scrape the content, summarize it with an AI, and keep the user on their own site. They achieved a "Zero-Click" search rate of over 70%.

They found the goose that laid the golden eggs, and in their infinite, ego-driven wisdom,
they slaughtered it to get all the gold at once.

Now, they're starving.

1. Model Autophagy (Eating Their Own Exhaust)

Because Google and the AI labs choked off the traffic, the publishers are dying. NPR called it an "extinction-level event," and massive chains are threatening to block Google's crawlers entirely.



With human creators abandoning Google's ecosystem, the AI labs have hit a catastrophic data wall. They are running out of fresh, high-quality human intuition to train their next generation of models. Their solution? Train the new AI on the output of the old AI.

In computer science, this is triggering Model Autophagy Disorder (MAD). When a pattern-matching machine trains on synthetic "slop" instead of organic human truth, the data degrades. It loses the nuance, the lateral leaps, and the human spark. It homogenizes into absolute nonsense. The machine is literally choking on its own exhaust.

2. The Internal Mutiny (The Gulag)

But it’s not just the data that's breaking down; employees inside these companies are shattering.

The engineers now realize they have no purpose. Inside Meta, thousands of employees have been forcibly reassigned to perform mindless human-in-the-loop AI training tasks. Internal leaks reveal engineers referring to their own applied AI units as "The Gulag," stating: "I have no purpose in life. It feels like I'm just given these random tasks. I don't have agency anymore."



The people who built the machine are realizing they are trapped inside it.

And lastly ...


The Reality Check

You cannot build a functioning system by strip-mining the physical world and ignoring the cost.

The tech bros built a god-like calculator, but they forgot they needed the people to actually feed it real meaning. They isolated themselves, automated away their own purpose, and alienated the entire publishing world.

The house is actively burning. Can Google change course before it's too late?

No one knows, do one? - Fats Waller